Heerenveen vs Twente

Heerenveen at home have been fairly balanced, with 59 goals scored and 56 conceded across 35 matches, and only 5 clean sheets. Their recent run includes two wins but also two losses, suggesting they can score but are not consistently preventing goals. Twente away look stronger defensively, conceding 40 goals in 34 matches and keeping 8 clean sheets, while also scoring 59 overall. Their recent form is mixed, with a win and two draws among the last five results, which points to a team that can control games but still allow scoring at times. With both teams to score at 61.1% and over 2.5 goals at 58.0%, the matchup profile leans toward goals on both sides rather than a low-scoring or one-sided outcome. That aligns with the prediction of BTTS Yes, though the confidence is only moderate (51) and the risk is high, since neither side is guaranteed to avoid a clean sheet. The win probabilities are relatively close, with Heerenveen slightly favored at home (41.0%) and Twente not far behind (33.5%), so a draw is also plausible (25.5%). In that context, BTTS Yes remains the most supported angle, but it’s not a low-risk bet.