Hapoel Tel Aviv vs GKS Katowice

Hapoel Tel Aviv at home has been solid across their two matches, going 1W 1D 0L with 4 goals scored and only 2 conceded, including one clean sheet. That home profile supports a slight edge for them to take the win, aligning with the 55.6% home-win probability. GKS Katowice have been less consistent defensively on the road, with 4 goals scored but 3 conceded and no clean sheets in their two matches. Their away results include a win and a loss (1W 0D 1L), which keeps the upset possibility alive, but their weaker defensive record reduces the away-win appeal. The goal-related signals are mixed but lean toward a match with scoring. Over 2.5 goals is at 48.7%, and both teams to score is 52.1%, suggesting a fairly even chance of a game where both sides find goals, though it’s not strongly one-sided. With home win at 55.6% and only moderate support from the scoring indicators, the home win looks plausible but not secure, which fits the relatively high risk level and the mid-range confidence score of 56.