Finished

High risk

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta result & prediction review

0–1Full time

Thu, Aug 27, 06:00 PMDVTK Stadion

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 46/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

Under 2.5 Goals

Hapoel Tel Aviv (DWLDL) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 0.7 for Atalanta (DW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 46/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

46/100

Confidence

46/100

Strongest cover

71.0% probability

Risk classification

High

32.4% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

HTA win38.6%

Draw32.4%

A win29%

Goals

Over 1.553.8%

Over 2.526.4%

Under 2.573.6%

Both teams to score

Yes34.3%

No65.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Hapoel Tel Aviv

5/15 recent form points

DWLDL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.17
Shots on target: Unavailable

Atalanta

4/6 recent form points

xG / match: 0.77
xGA / match: 2.14
Goals / match: 0.50
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/2 and Over 2.5 in 0/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Atalanta

2026-08-27T20:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Atalanta 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv

2026-08-20T20:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-1

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 57.8% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.5049 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Wed, 26 Aug 2026 09:31 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Hapoel Tel Aviv predictions · Atalanta predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.