Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Hapoel Beer Sheva at home has a small sample but looks relatively solid, with 1 win and 1 loss from 2 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 2, including 1 clean sheet. That supports a slight edge for the home side rather than a clear favorite. Crvena Zvezda’s away profile is mixed but productive across 6 matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 12 and conceding 6, and also 1 clean sheet. Their results suggest they can avoid defeat often, which keeps the draw and away win in play. The goal outlook is modest rather than dominant: both teams to score is estimated at 52.0%, and over 2.5 goals at 46.2%. With those figures, a home win is plausible but not strongly supported, aligning with the high risk level and the relatively low confidence score of 41. Overall, the home win call fits the home side’s better defensive output in its limited matches, but Crvena Zvezda’s ability to score and draw frequently means the match outcome is still fairly uncertain.