Hammarby Talang vs Arlanda

Hammarby Talang have been strong at home, with 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from 14 matches, plus 7 clean sheets. They also have a clear goal advantage at this level, scoring 38 and conceding 11, which supports the idea that they can control the game more often than not. Arlanda’s away record is steadier than their goal totals suggest, with 8 wins, 5 draws, and only 1 loss, and they also have 7 clean sheets. Their recent form is very strong (LWWWW), but they have scored 23 goals in 14 matches, so they may be more reliant on keeping the match tight rather than outscoring Hammarby. The home win lean is reflected in the probabilities, with Hammarby at 45.0% versus Arlanda at 28.3% and a draw at 26.7%. That said, the draw chance is not negligible, and Arlanda’s defensive record keeps the away side from looking like a clear underdog. For goals, the match profile points to a moderate likelihood of more open play, with over 2.5 goals at 50.2% and both teams to score at 54.1%. Overall, Hammarby’s home strength and goal difference are the main reasons for the home win view, but Arlanda’s clean-sheet rate and recent run add enough uncertainty to keep confidence only medium.