Ham-Kam vs Aalesund

Ham-Kam at home look slightly more reliable than Aalesund away, with Ham-Kam recording 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses across 15 matches, while Aalesund have only 2 wins in 15 away games. Ham-Kam’s goal record is also marginally stronger, scoring 23 and conceding 26, compared with Aalesund’s 21 scored and 35 conceded on the road. The recent form leans toward Ham-Kam, even though it’s not consistently strong. Ham-Kam’s last five results are DLLLW, while Aalesund’s are DDLDL, suggesting both sides have struggled at times, but Aalesund’s away profile includes more defensive weakness. With Ham-Kam’s home scoring and Aalesund’s higher concession rate, the match is more likely to produce goals than a low-scoring stalemate. The probabilities indicate a 64.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62.9% chance that both teams score. Overall, the home win is the most likely outcome (59.0%), but the draw remains plausible (21.1%), and Aalesund’s ability to avoid defeat isn’t negligible (away win 19.9%). That combination supports a medium-risk home win rather than a high-confidence call.