Gwelup Croatia (DDWWL) project at 2.1 expected goals versus 1.4 for Subiaco (LLDWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 66/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
66/100
Gwelup Croatia 2-1 Subiaco
2026-08-01T09:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Subiaco 5-1 Gwelup Croatia
2026-05-16T09:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Gwelup Croatia 0-1 Subiaco
2025-07-26T09:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Subiaco 2-4 Gwelup Croatia
2025-05-10T09:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Subiaco 0-1 Gwelup Croatia
2024-06-22T09:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Gwelup Croatia 1-2 Subiaco
2024-03-23T01:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Final score
2-1
Pre-kickoff call
Over 2.5 Goals · 67.4% → Won
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 66/100
Strongest cover
12
76.0% probability
Risk classification
Medium
24.0% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
50 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Gwelup Croatia
8/15 recent form points
Subiaco
4/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/6 and Over 2.5 in 4/6.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +3.3% | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24.0% | -2.7% |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24.0% | -2.7% | |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 26.7% | 24.0% | -2.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 27.5% | 24.0% | -3.5% | |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.0% | -3.8% | |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 30.3% | 24.0% | -6.3% | |
Away 1X2 | UnibetBest price +11.9% | 2.80 | 35.7% | 35.4% | -0.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 35.4% | -4.6% | |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 40.8% | 35.4% | -5.4% | |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 40.8% | 35.4% | -5.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.42 | 41.3% | 35.4% | -5.9% | |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 41.7% | 35.4% | -6.3% | |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +5.1% | 2.40 | 41.7% | 40.6% | -1.1% |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 42.0% | 40.6% | -1.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 42.6% | 40.6% | -2.0% | |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 40.6% | -2.9% | |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 40.6% | -3.8% | |
| Unibet | 2.02 | 49.5% | 40.6% | -8.9% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | BetVictorBest price +4.2% | 2.75 | 36.4% | 34.6% | -1.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 38.2% | 34.6% | -3.6% | |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 38.5% | 34.6% | -3.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 38.6% | 34.6% | -4.0% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +2.7% | 1.44 | 69.4% | 65.4% | -4.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.4% | -6.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 71.9% | 65.4% | -6.5% | |
| Unibet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 65.4% | -7.1% | |
No BTTS | BetVictorBest price +4.7% | 2.88 | 34.7% | 33.3% | -1.4% |
| Marathonbet | 2.75 | 36.4% | 33.3% | -3.1% | |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 38.2% | 33.3% | -4.9% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +1.9% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 66.7% | -4.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 73.5% | 66.7% | -6.8% | |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 73.5% | 66.7% | -6.8% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | UnibetBest price +4.2% | 1.58 | 63.3% | 0.0% | -63.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% | |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 68.5% | 0.0% | -68.5% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +4.8% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.9% | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Unibet | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
Ranked probability score
0.1289 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sat, 01 Aug 2026 06:39 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.