Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec

Guayaquil City FC have scored 20 goals in 23 matches and conceded 25, while Emelec have scored 19 and conceded 28. Both teams’ goal totals are relatively modest, which supports a game where scoring may be limited rather than open-ended. Clean sheets are also fairly common for both sides, with Guayaquil City FC keeping 7 and Emelec keeping 8. That points toward defensive games and fewer chances turning into multiple goals, aligning with the under 2.5 goals angle. The recent form is mixed for both teams, with Guayaquil City FC showing DWDDL and Emelec showing WLDLL. That kind of pattern often corresponds to tighter match scripts, where results can swing on a small number of key moments rather than frequent scoring. The probabilities provided also lean that way: over 2.5 goals is 37.5% versus under 2.5 being more likely overall, and both teams to score is 43.9%, suggesting it’s not a strong expectation that both will find the net. With a medium risk level, the main uncertainty is whether the match becomes one of the lower-probability higher-scoring outcomes.