Guabirá vs Real Tomayapo

Guabirá at home looks slightly more likely to win than Real Tomayapo, with Guabirá’s record reading 4W 3D 5L versus Tomayapo’s 2W 3D 7L. Guabirá has also scored more across the season (19 goals vs 9), while both sides have conceded the same total (26), which keeps the matchup competitive but still favors Guabirá’s ability to create chances. The recent form leans toward Guabirá as well, with WWLWD compared to Tomayapo’s LWLLD. That pattern suggests Guabirá has been more capable of turning matches into results, even if they haven’t been consistently dominant. On goals, the matchup profile points to a decent chance of over 2.5 goals, with the provided probability at 60.9%. Both teams have relatively low clean sheets (Guabirá 1, Tomayapo 2), and Tomayapo’s 7 losses from 12 games implies they may struggle to keep games tight, supporting the idea that Guabirá can edge the scoring. Overall, the home win call aligns with the probabilities (64.6% home win) and the medium risk level, since the draw probability is still meaningful at 19.7% and Tomayapo’s conceded total is not dramatically different.