Groningen vs Utrecht

Groningen at home have been fairly balanced in results, with 14 wins and 15 losses across 35 matches, and their goal record is close to even (49 scored, 47 conceded). They also have 10 clean sheets, suggesting they can keep games tight, but their recent form includes two losses in the last five, which points to some inconsistency. Utrecht away have a slightly stronger attacking profile, scoring 59 goals in 36 matches while conceding 46. Their clean sheets are 9, and their recent form is stronger overall with four wins in their last five, which supports the idea that they can contribute offensively even on the road. The matchup leans toward both teams finding goals: Utrecht’s away scoring and Groningen’s relatively similar goals conceded make a low-to-moderate scoring game plausible, but the overall probability for both teams to score is 57.3%. With over 2.5 goals at 53.1%, the game profile fits a scenario where at least one side scores, and both scoring is slightly more likely than not. Because the confidence is only 50 and the risk level is high, this is not a strong lock. Groningen’s ability to record clean sheets and their mixed recent results mean the “BTTS Yes” outcome could still fail if one team controls the match more than expected.