Finished

High risk

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC result & prediction review

1–1Full time

Thu, Aug 13, 05:00 PMStadion im. Ernesta Pohla

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 58/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

Away Win

Gornik Zabrze (LD) project at 0.8 expected goals versus 1.4 for Ferencvarosi TC (WDWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 58/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

58/100

Confidence

58/100

Strongest cover

83.7% probability

Risk classification

High

25.0% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

GZ win16.3%

Draw25%

FT win58.7%

Goals

Over 1.566.3%

Over 2.538.8%

Under 2.561.2%

Both teams to score

Yes42.7%

No57.3%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Gornik Zabrze

1/6 recent form points

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 0.50
Shots on target: Unavailable

Ferencvarosi TC

13/15 recent form points

WDWWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.11
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/2 and Over 2.5 in 0/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC

2026-08-13T19:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Ferencvarosi TC 1-0 Gornik Zabrze

2026-08-05T20:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

1-1

Pre-kickoff call

Away Win · 53.6% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.1678 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Thu, 13 Aug 2026 09:30 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

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Team hubs: Gornik Zabrze predictions · Ferencvarosi TC predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.