Goias vs Londrina

Goias at home has a slightly stronger overall record than Londrina away, with 8 wins at home versus 5 wins on the road. Their goal record is also marginally better defensively, conceding 26 at home compared with Londrina conceding 31 away, which supports the home win lean. The recent form is mixed for both sides, but Goias’s sequence includes more positive results than Londrina’s, which has two consecutive losses in its latest stretch. That pattern aligns with the probabilities showing Goias as the most likely outcome, though the draw remains fairly plausible. In attack and game state terms, both teams’ scoring profiles suggest a fairly even chance of goals. Goias have scored 21 at home and Londrina 27 away, and the model gives a slight edge to both teams scoring, with 53.8% for BTTS and 49.8% for over 2.5 goals. Overall, the home win case is supported by Goias’s home record and defensive concession rate, but the medium risk reflects the closeness in scoring indicators and the meaningful draw probability.