Gnistan vs Ilves result & prediction review
3–2Full time
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 74/100
Home Win
Gnistan (WDDWD) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1.2 for Ilves (LLWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 74/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
74/100
Strongest cover
12
76.0% probability
Risk classification
Medium
24.0% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Gnistan
9/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.60
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Ilves
9/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.68
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Gnistan 3-2 Ilves
2026-08-17T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Ilves 2-0 Gnistan
2026-05-23T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Ilves 1-0 Gnistan
2026-01-24T13:45:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Gnistan 1-3 Ilves
2025-10-25T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Ilves 3-2 Gnistan
2025-09-23T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Ilves 2-2 Gnistan
2025-08-04T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Gnistan 0-2 Ilves
2025-06-01T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Gnistan 3-0 Ilves
2025-05-28T17:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Ilves 4-0 Gnistan
2025-03-28T13:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Gnistan 1-1 Ilves
2024-09-01T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
3-2
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 53.5% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1341 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Mon, 17 Aug 2026 00:08 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
More Veikkausliiga predictions
Team hubs: Gnistan predictions · Ilves predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.