Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago

Gimnasia y Tiro at home have been relatively solid defensively, conceding 22 goals in 23 matches and keeping 7 clean sheets. Their recent form includes four wins in their last five matches, and their overall goal difference is only slightly positive, which suggests games can stay controlled rather than turning into high-scoring affairs. Nueva Chicago’s away record is balanced, with 20 goals scored and 20 conceded across 22 matches, plus 9 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed, but the season-level defensive numbers are comparable to their attacking output, which often points toward tighter scorelines. With both teams’ goals for and against staying close to each other and clean sheets appearing regularly, the likelihood of a low total is supported. The probabilities provided also lean that way, with over 2.5 goals at 36.1% and both teams to score at 42.6%, aligning with an Under 2.5 Goals view. There is still some risk because Gimnasia y Tiro’s recent run of wins could increase the chance of an open game, but overall the season stats favor fewer goals.