GIL Vicente vs Rio Ave

Gil Vicente at home has a stronger overall record than Rio Ave, with 13 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses across 34 matches, plus a positive goal profile (47 scored, 38 conceded). Rio Ave’s away record is weaker, with 8 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, and they have conceded more than they’ve scored (57 conceded, 35 scored). In recent form, Gil Vicente’s sequence is mixed but includes a win and a draw among its last five results (LWDLL), while Rio Ave has been more consistently drawing (DLDLD). That pattern supports a higher chance of Gil Vicente edging the match rather than a clear away win, aligning with the home win probability of 56.4% versus 19.2% for Rio Ave. The goal outlook is fairly balanced. Gil Vicente’s defense is relatively solid for the league context, with 12 clean sheets, while Rio Ave has fewer clean sheets (6) and a weaker defensive record overall, which helps explain why both teams to score is slightly favored (51.8%) and over 2.5 goals sits just above even (50.5%). With home win at 56.4% and draw at 24.4%, the edge for Gil Vicente is modest rather than decisive, which fits the higher risk level. A draw remains a realistic alternative given Rio Ave’s tendency to pick up points through draws.