Gandzasar vs Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia look more likely to win away, with a strong overall record of 18W 6D 3L compared to Gandzasar’s 5W 6D 16L at home. Ararat-Armenia also have a better goal profile, scoring 50 and conceding 25 versus Gandzasar’s 20 scored and 41 conceded, which supports the away win lean. The recent form adds some caution. Gandzasar’s last five results are all losses (LLLLL), while Ararat-Armenia’s recent run is mixed but positive overall (WWLWW). That combination helps Ararat-Armenia’s case, but the away win confidence is still only moderate, reflected in the 55.9% away-win probability and the high risk level. For goals, the match is slightly less certain than the result. Over 2.5 goals is at 46.4%, suggesting it’s not a clear high-scoring expectation, even though Ararat-Armenia’s season scoring (50) and defensive record (25 conceded) indicate they can control games. Both teams to score is essentially a coin flip at 49.8%. With Gandzasar conceding 41 across the season and Ararat-Armenia keeping 11 clean sheets, the most likely pattern could be Ararat-Armenia edging the match, but with enough uncertainty that a draw or a low-scoring outcome remains plausible.