Gamba Osaka vs Urawa

Gamba Osaka’s home record is stronger than Urawa’s away record, with Gamba at 11W 1D 8L versus Urawa at 7W 1D 12L. Gamba also has a better goal difference overall this season, scoring 36 and conceding 28, while Urawa scores 26 and concedes 25. In recent form, Gamba’s sequence is LLWDW, which suggests inconsistency, but they still manage results often enough to keep them competitive. Urawa’s recent form is WLLDL, showing they struggle to string wins together, which aligns with their weaker away results. The goal indicators lean slightly toward a more open game. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54.4%, and both teams to score at 56.9%, which fits with Gamba conceding 28 and Urawa scoring 26 despite their defensive concessions being relatively close. So a home win is the lean, but not a lock, with home win probability at 52.1% and a medium risk profile. The draw remains a meaningful alternative at 24.4%, and Urawa’s away win chance at 23.5% keeps the outcome from being one-sided.