AI prediction
Home Win
Fundación Lara Deportiva (WLLWD) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.1 for Zamora FC B (DWLWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 77/100 confidence with low risk.
Confidence
77/100
Fundación Lara Deportiva 2-1 Zamora FC B
2026-07-29T22:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Zamora FC B 0-0 Fundación Lara Deportiva
2026-04-25T21:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Fundación Lara Deportiva 1-1 Zamora FC B
2026-02-28T22:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Final score
2-1
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 60.2% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.0912 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Wed, 29 Jul 2026 19:36 UTC, before kickoff at 1.55 (William Hill), by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Confidence 77/100
Strongest cover
1X
84.5% probability
Risk classification
Low
24.3% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Fundación Lara Deportiva
7/15 recent form points
Zamora FC B
10/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/3 and Over 2.5 in 1/3.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| MarathonbetBest price +8.1% |
| 5.90 |
| 16.9% |
| 15.5% |
| -1.4% |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 17.2% | 15.5% | -1.7% |
| 10Bet | 5.50 | 18.2% | 15.5% | -2.7% |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 18.2% | 15.5% | -2.7% |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 19.0% | 15.5% | -3.5% |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 20.8% | 15.5% | -5.3% |
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +4.6% | 3.70 | 27.0% | 24.3% | -2.7% |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 27.2% | 24.3% | -2.9% |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.3% | -3.5% |
| 10Bet | 3.55 | 28.2% | 24.3% | -3.9% |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24.3% | -5.1% |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 30.3% | 24.3% | -6.0% |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +2.4% | 1.55 | 64.5% | 60.2% | -4.3% |
| 10Bet | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.2% | -5.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.2% | -5.2% |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 65.4% | 60.2% | -5.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 67.1% | 60.2% | -6.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 69.0% | 60.2% | -8.8% |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.1% | 1.95 | 51.3% | 48.9% | -2.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.9% | -3.5% |
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.9% | -5.2% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.9% | -5.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.72 | 58.1% | 48.9% | -9.2% |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.5% | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.1% | -3.0% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.1% | -3.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 56.2% | 51.1% | -5.1% |
| 10Bet | 1.75 | 57.1% | 51.1% | -6.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 61.7% | 51.1% | -10.6% |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +4.6% | 1.95 | 51.3% | 48.3% | -3.0% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 52.4% | 48.3% | -4.1% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 48.3% | -5.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 57.1% | 48.3% | -8.8% |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +7.1% | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.7% | -2.4% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 51.7% | -5.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 58.5% | 51.7% | -6.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 62.5% | 51.7% | -10.8% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +4.6% | 2.38 | 42.0% | 0.0% | -42.0% |
| 10Bet | 2.35 | 42.6% | 0.0% | -42.6% |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 44.1% | 0.0% | -44.1% |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 44.4% | 0.0% | -44.4% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 0.0% | -44.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 46.5% | 0.0% | -46.5% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.0% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% |
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +3.8% | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 89.3% | 0.0% | -89.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
| 10Bet | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.04 | 96.2% | 0.0% | -96.2% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.