Frosinone vs Lazio

Frosinone at home have been relatively tight, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded across 3 matches, plus 2 clean sheets. Their recent form is WLD, suggesting they can avoid heavy defeats and keep games controlled. Lazio’s away record is slightly stronger in results (2W 1D 1L) but their scoring and defending are modest, with 4 goals for and 3 against in 4 matches and 2 clean sheets. Their recent form is WLDW, which points more toward low-to-mid scoring rather than consistently high totals. With both sides showing some defensive restraint and multiple clean sheets, the likelihood of a match staying under a higher goal threshold looks plausible. The probabilities also lean that way, with over 2.5 goals at 34.9% and both teams to score at 42.8%, which is not strongly supportive of a high-scoring game. The confidence is limited (35) and risk is high, so this is better viewed as a cautious lean toward Under 2.5 goals rather than a strong call.