Fluminense vs Bahia
0–043′Thu, Jul 30, 12:30 AMEstádio do Maracanã
Model verdict
Medium risk
Home Win
Fluminense (WLDDD) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.2 for Bahia (LWWDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 73/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
73/100
Confidence
73/100
Head-to-Head
Fluminense 2-0 Bahia
2026-07-12T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Bahia 1-1 Fluminense
2026-02-05T23:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Fluminense 2-0 Bahia
2025-12-07T20:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Fluminense 2-0 Bahia
2025-09-11T00:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Bahia 1-0 Fluminense
2025-08-29T00:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Bahia 3-3 Fluminense
2025-08-10T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Fluminense vs Bahia.
Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 22:35 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
