Flamengo FBC W vs Alianza Lima W

Alianza Lima W look more likely to win away, with an away win probability of 83.5% versus just 6.3% for Flamengo FBC W. This aligns with the season records: Flamengo have 3 wins in 12 matches, while Alianza have 10 wins in 15, suggesting Alianza have been consistently stronger overall. Defensively, Alianza Lima W also stand out. They’ve conceded only 11 goals in 15 matches and kept 9 clean sheets, while Flamengo have conceded 25 in 12 and only 2 clean sheets. That combination supports the idea that Alianza can control the game even on the road. In attack, Alianza’s 44 goals in 15 matches is a clear edge over Flamengo’s 19 in 12, and the goal markets reflect that. Over 2.5 goals is favored at 73.5%, while both teams to score sits around 50.4%, indicating it’s plausible Flamengo could get on the scoresheet but not guaranteed. The confidence is relatively high (71) but not extreme, with a medium risk level. The main uncertainty is that Flamengo’s recent form includes multiple draws and losses rather than a clear collapse, which can sometimes keep matches closer than the overall win probability suggests.