FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys
1–1Full timeThu, Jul 30, 02:00 PMKostanay Central Stadium
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
Under 2.5 Goals
FK Tobol Kostanay (D) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.1 for Panevėžys (D). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 62/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
62/100
Confidence
62/100
Head-to-Head
Panevėžys 1-1 FK Tobol Kostanay
2026-07-23T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for FK Tobol Kostanay vs Panevėžys.
Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-1
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 57.7% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1311 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:29 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
