FK Crvena Zvezda (WWDLD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.1 for Larne (WWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
35/100
Larne 0-4 FK Crvena Zvezda
2026-07-21T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 16:05 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 35/100
Strongest cover
12
73.2% probability
Risk classification
High
26.8% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
FK Crvena Zvezda
8/15 recent form points
Larne
6/9 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.