FK Chayka 2 vs Pobeda

Pobeda look more likely to win away, with the away win probability at 54.5% versus 21.7% for FK Chayka 2. This aligns with the overall records: Chayka 2 have 2 wins in 16 and a heavy 13 losses, while Pobeda have 7 wins in 15 and only 5 losses. The goal profile also favors Pobeda. Chayka 2 have scored 10 and conceded 38, with just 1 clean sheet, suggesting they struggle defensively and may concede chances. Pobeda have scored 30 and conceded 19, including 5 clean sheets, which supports their ability to control matches even on the road. There’s also a moderate lean toward goals. Over 2.5 goals is at 55.7%, and both teams to score is at 57.1%, which fits the combination of Chayka 2’s low scoring and high concession rate with Pobeda’s stronger attack and defensive record. With a medium risk level, the main uncertainty is that Chayka 2’s recent form includes two wins in their last five (LLWWL), and the draw probability is still relatively close at 23.8%. So while an away win is the most likely outcome, it’s not a lock.