Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
4–0Full timeThu, Jul 30, 01:00 AM
AI prediction
Home Win
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
Home Win
Firpo (DWDWL) project at 2 expected goals versus 0.8 for Fuerte San Francisco (LDLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 55/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
55/100
Confidence
55/100
Head-to-Head
Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 Firpo
2026-04-05T23:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Firpo 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco
2026-02-08T02:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco 1-4 Firpo
2025-10-19T23:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Firpo 3-0 Fuerte San Francisco
2025-08-17T03:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Firpo 1-1 Fuerte San Francisco
2025-05-11T03:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Fuerte San Francisco 0-0 Firpo
2025-05-08T23:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
4-0
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 69.5% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.053 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:58 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.