Finished

High risk

Feyenoord vs GO Ahead Eagles

2–2Full time

Sun, Aug 16, 12:30 PMDe Kuip

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 51/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

High risk

Home Win

Feyenoord (DWWDW) project at 2.1 expected goals versus 1.2 for GO Ahead Eagles (DDDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 51/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

51/100

Confidence

51/100

Strongest cover

83.7% probability

Risk classification

High

19.5% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

F win64.2%

Draw19.5%

GAE win16.3%

Goals

Over 1.584.1%

Over 2.563.1%

Under 2.536.9%

Both teams to score

Yes60.6%

No39.4%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Feyenoord

11/15 recent form points

DWWDW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.06
Shots on target: Unavailable

GO Ahead Eagles

3/15 recent form points

DDDLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.59
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/9 and Over 2.5 in 8/9.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Feyenoord 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles

2026-08-16T14:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Feyenoord 1-0 GO Ahead Eagles

2026-02-15T12:15:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

GO Ahead Eagles 2-1 Feyenoord

2025-11-09T20:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Feyenoord 3-2 GO Ahead Eagles

2025-03-30T16:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

GO Ahead Eagles 1-5 Feyenoord

2024-10-19T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

GO Ahead Eagles 1-3 Feyenoord

2024-04-25T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Feyenoord 3-1 GO Ahead Eagles

2023-09-30T16:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Feyenoord 3-0 GO Ahead Eagles

2023-05-14T16:45:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

GO Ahead Eagles 3-4 Feyenoord

2022-09-03T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Feyenoord’s home record is stronger than GO Ahead Eagles’ overall away results, with Feyenoord at 19W 8D 7L versus GO Ahead’s 8W 14D 12L. Feyenoord also has the clearer goal profile, scoring 70 and conceding 44, while GO Ahead scores 54 and concedes 53, suggesting Feyenoord should have the edge in creating and converting chances. In recent form, Feyenoord’s sequence DWWDW includes two wins and only one loss, while GO Ahead’s DDDLL shows a more fragile run with two defeats. That pattern aligns with the probabilities leaning toward Feyenoord, with home win at 64.2% compared with 16.3% for an away win. The goal outlook also favors a more open game. Feyenoord’s season numbers (70 scored, 44 conceded) and GO Ahead’s near-even scoring/conceding (54 scored, 53 conceded) support the over 2.5 goals probability of 63.1% and both teams to score at 60.6%. Even with these edges, the confidence is only 51 and the risk is high, so the home win case isn’t fully secure. A draw remains plausible at 19.5%, especially given GO Ahead’s tendency to avoid defeat in parts of their recent run.

Recorded forecast

Final score

2-2

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 64.3% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.2198 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sun, 16 Aug 2026 08:28 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

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Team hubs: Feyenoord predictions · GO Ahead Eagles predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.