Fénix vs Central Ballester
3–1Full timeMon, Aug 10, 06:00 PM
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
Under 2.5 Goals
Fénix (LWWDD) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 0.9 for Central Ballester (LWWLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 71/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
71/100
Confidence
71/100
Head-to-Head
Central Ballester 4-2 Fénix
2026-04-11T20:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Fénix 1-0 Central Ballester
2012-02-18T21:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Central Ballester 0-3 Fénix
2011-09-10T20:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Fénix at home have scored 14 goals in 22 matches and conceded 22, with 7 clean sheets. Their recent form is LWWDD, which suggests some ability to avoid defeat but not a strong scoring run.
Central Ballester away have scored 19 goals in 21 matches and conceded 24, with 10 clean sheets. Their recent form is LWWLD, indicating they can keep games controlled, even if they don’t consistently dominate.
With both teams showing relatively modest scoring totals and a decent number of clean sheets, the match profile leans toward fewer goals. The probabilities also reflect this, with over 2.5 goals at 33.6% and both teams to score at 41.6%, leaving a meaningful chance of a low-scoring game.
So an Under 2.5 Goals call fits the season and recent patterns, though it’s not guaranteed given the close win/draw/lose split and the fact that both sides can still score.
Recorded forecast
Final score
3-1
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 66.4% → Lost
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.