FC Volendam vs Ajax
Sun, Aug 2, 12:30 PMKras Stadion
Model verdict
Medium risk
BTTS Yes
FC Volendam (WLLDW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.3 for Ajax (LWDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 59/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
59/100
Confidence
59/100
Head-to-Head
Ajax 2-2 FC Volendam
2026-03-25T12:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Ajax 2-0 FC Volendam
2026-01-24T16:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
FC Volendam 1-1 Ajax
2025-08-30T16:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
FC Volendam 1-4 Ajax
2024-05-05T14:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Ajax 2-0 FC Volendam
2023-11-02T20:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Ajax 1-1 FC Volendam
2023-01-26T21:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Model reasoning
Volendam at home have scored 13 in 6 matches and conceded 11, with only 1 clean sheet, which suggests they can allow goals even when results are mixed. Their recent form includes several low-to-mid scoring outcomes (WLLDW), aligning with the idea that both teams may find scoring chances.
Ajax’s away record is stronger than Volendam’s overall, with 12 goals scored and 8 conceded across 8 matches, plus 3 clean sheets. That said, they have also conceded in multiple games, and their recent form (LWDWW) includes results where scoring from both sides is plausible rather than consistently one-sided.
The matchup probabilities point toward a fairly balanced contest, with both teams to score at 56.3% and over 2.5 goals at 51.8%. With a medium risk level and a 59 confidence score for BTTS Yes, the expectation is for goals at both ends, though it’s not dominant enough to treat as a near certainty.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Sat, 01 Aug 2026 20:40 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
