UEFA Europa Conference League
Finished
High risk

FC Vaduz vs Inter Turku result & prediction review

2–2Full time
Thu, Aug 13, 05:30 PMRheinpark Stadion

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 35/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Under 2.5 Goals

FC Vaduz (LWLL) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.1 for Inter Turku (WWDDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

35/100

Confidence
35/100

Strongest cover

12

70.5% probability

Risk classification

High

29.5% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

FV win32.3%
Draw29.5%
IT win38.2%

Goals

Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.3%
Under 2.561.7%

Both teams to score

Yes45.8%
No54.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

FC Vaduz

3/12 recent form points

LWLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.75
Shots on target
Unavailable

Inter Turku

8/15 recent form points

WWDDL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.38
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/2 and Over 2.5 in 2/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

FC Vaduz 2-2 Inter Turku

2026-08-13T19:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Inter Turku 2-1 FC Vaduz

2026-08-06T17:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for FC Vaduz vs Inter Turku. Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

2-2

Pre-kickoff call

Away Win · 44.9% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.1383 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Wed, 12 Aug 2026 09:35 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

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Team hubs: FC Vaduz predictions · Inter Turku predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.