FC Tulsa vs Detroit City

FC Tulsa at home has been relatively stingy defensively, conceding 17 goals in 18 matches and keeping 8 clean sheets. Their recent form includes two wins and a draw in the last four matches, which supports a more controlled game state rather than a high-scoring shootout. Detroit City’s away profile is also balanced, with 17 goals conceded in 17 matches and 6 clean sheets. Their recent form is slightly stronger than Tulsa’s, but their scoring output (25 goals in 17 matches) still doesn’t clearly point to a frequent over-2.5 pattern when paired with Tulsa’s defensive record. With both teams to score at 48.7% and over 2.5 goals at 42.5%, the goal distribution leans toward fewer goals rather than multiple scoring events. That aligns with the Under 2.5 Goals angle, though the draw probability (28.3%) and the close win rates suggest it could still be a tight match where scoring is limited but not guaranteed. Overall, the Under 2.5 Goals prediction fits the season defensive numbers and the provided goal probabilities, with medium risk reflecting that both teams are capable of finding goals.