FC Sion vs FC Vaduz

FC Sion at home has a stronger overall record than Vaduz, with 16 wins, 15 draws, and 7 losses across 38 matches, plus 63 goals scored and 40 conceded. Their clean sheets (15) also suggest they can limit opponents, which supports the home win lean. Vaduz’s away sample here is very limited and winless, with 0 wins in 2 matches and 3 goals scored while conceding 5. Their recent form is also poor (LL), so they look less likely to generate consistent attacking output in this matchup. The goal-related indicators point to a moderate chance of a higher-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals at 57.3% and both teams to score at 54.4%. That combination fits a scenario where Sion can win while still allowing some scoring from Vaduz. Overall, the home win probability is higher (68.3%), but the confidence is only 42 with a high risk level, likely reflecting Vaduz’s small sample size and the possibility that the match could be closer than the home advantage suggests.