FC Sion vs FC Luzern

FC Sion at home have a solid overall record with 16 wins, 15 draws, and 7 losses, and they’ve been relatively stingy defensively with 40 goals conceded and 15 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed but positive overall (WWWDD), which supports the idea that they can avoid defeat and potentially edge the match. Luzern’s away record is weaker than Sion’s home record, with 14 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, and they concede more on the road (66 goals conceded overall) while keeping fewer clean sheets (7). Their recent form is also somewhat inconsistent (WWDWW), suggesting they can score, but not as reliably as Sion can control outcomes at home. The goal indicators lean toward an open game: Sion have scored 63 and conceded 40, while Luzern have scored 76 and conceded 66, which aligns with the higher likelihood of over 2.5 goals (60.3%). Both teams to score also looks plausible (61.3%), so even if Sion are slightly favored for the result, the match may not be a comfortable shutout. With home win probability at 51.1% versus draw 23.8% and away win 25.1%, the edge for Sion is modest, matching the higher risk level (confidenceScore 56). The most reasonable expectation is a close contest where Sion have a slight advantage, but Luzern’s scoring ability keeps the away upset in play.