FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC

Nordsjaelland have the stronger overall record at this point in the season, with 15 wins versus Randers’ 9, and they also have a better goal difference from 51 scored and 46 conceded compared with Randers’ 33 scored and 47 conceded. At home, that profile supports a slight edge for Nordsjaelland rather than a clear mismatch. The recent form is mixed for both sides, with Nordsjaelland’s run reading DLDDW and Randers’ reading DLWDL. That kind of pattern usually points to a game that can swing on small margins, which aligns with the draw still being a meaningful outcome. In scoring terms, the matchup leans toward goals: both teams to score is projected at 54.8%, and over 2.5 goals at 53.1%. With Nordsjaelland’s slightly better attacking output and Randers’ similar concession level, a home win is plausible, but the relatively high risk reflects how close the probabilities are between home, draw, and away. So the home win call sits at 55.6% versus 23.9% for a draw and 20.5% for an away win, with the overall picture suggesting Nordsjaelland may edge it, though it’s not a high-conviction result.