FC Noah vs Zimbru
2–1Full timeThu, Jul 30, 04:00 PMAbovyan City Stadium
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
Home Win
FC Noah (DWLWL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1 for Zimbru (DL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 38/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
38/100
Confidence
38/100
Head-to-Head
Zimbru 1-1 FC Noah
2026-07-23T19:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for FC Noah vs Zimbru.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
2-1
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 55.4% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1197 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:29 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
