FC Midtjylland vs AC Horsens

Midtjylland’s home profile looks stronger than Horsens’ away sample. Midtjylland have 16 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses across 32 matches, with 72 goals scored and 36 conceded, suggesting they generally control games at both ends. Their recent form is mixed (WDDDL), which tempers the home-win case. Horsens’ provided away data is extremely limited, with just 1 match showing a draw and 1 goal for and 1 against. That makes it harder to gauge their true attacking and defensive level, but it does not indicate a clear threat to Midtjylland. The goal indicators lean toward a relatively open game. Midtjylland’s season goal difference is positive (72–36), and the probabilities provided suggest 57.4% for over 2.5 goals and 56.0% for both teams to score, which aligns with Midtjylland being able to create chances while Horsens can still contribute. Overall, the home win probability is 63.0% with a confidence score of 47 and a high risk level, so the edge is there but not strong enough to be fully comfortable given Horsens’ very small away dataset and Midtjylland’s uneven recent form.