FBC Melgar W vs Defensores W

FBC Melgar W at home has a stronger overall record than Defensores W away, with 5 wins and 2 draws in 13 home matches versus Defensores’ 3 wins and 1 draw in 13 away matches. Their goal profile is also more balanced, scoring 20 and conceding 26, while Defensores W score 14 and concede 43, suggesting Melgar W are more likely to create and control chances. The recent form leans toward Melgar W as well. Melgar’s sequence is DDLLW, including a win in the latest match, while Defensores’ is LLWLL, with only one win across their last five and more frequent losses overall. Because Defensores W concede heavily (43 in 13 away matches) and Melgar W have a moderate scoring rate (20 in 13 home matches), the matchup points toward goals, with over 2.5 goals looking more likely than not. Both teams to score is also supported by Defensores’ defensive concession rate, even though Melgar’s clean sheets (4) indicate they can keep games from turning fully one-sided. So a home win is the most likely outcome, but the draw probability is not negligible (19.4%), and Defensores’ occasional ability to score keeps the risk at a medium level rather than low.