FarDu vs Qiziriq

FarDu at home has a stronger overall record than Qiziriq, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses compared to Qiziriq’s 1 win, 1 draw, and 10 losses. FarDu also has a modest edge in goal difference, scoring 16 and conceding 20, while Qiziriq scores 8 and concedes 25. The recent form supports the same direction: FarDu’s last five results are WLLWW, showing two wins in the most recent stretch, while Qiziriq has five straight losses (LLLLL). That combination of better form and weaker away results makes a home win more likely than the alternatives. The goal indicators are fairly balanced but lean slightly toward a match with goals. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55.4%, and both teams to score is 53.6%, which suggests Qiziriq may still manage to find chances despite their poor results. With home win probability at 65.8% and a medium risk level, the home win looks like the most reasonable outcome, though the draw at 20.0% and the relatively close “both teams to score” rate mean it’s not a lock.