Falkirk vs ST Mirren

Falkirk at home have a slightly stronger overall record than ST Mirren on the road, with 14 wins at home versus 9 wins away. Their goal record is also marginally better, scoring 50 and conceding 62 at home, while ST Mirren score 32 and concede 56 away, which supports a home-leaning outcome rather than a clear mismatch. Recent form is mixed for both sides. Falkirk’s latest run is LWLLL, suggesting they’ve struggled to convert performances into results, while ST Mirren’s is LWDDW, which includes more draws and at least one win, making the away side harder to dismiss even if they’re not dominating. The match profile points toward goals being fairly plausible but not guaranteed. Both teams have relatively high concession totals, and the probabilities given suggest both teams to score is more likely than not (51.8%), while over 2.5 goals sits just under a coin-flip (47.7%). With home win probability at 48.4% versus draw 26.7% and away win 24.9%, the home win is the most likely single result, but the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high. A draw or a low-scoring game where Falkirk fail to capitalize on home advantage are realistic alternatives given the recent form.