Etar Veliko Tarnovo (WDLWL) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.3 for Yantra 2019 (WWDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 46/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
46/100
Yantra 2019 4-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2026-02-24T16:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-1 Yantra 2019
2025-08-19T19:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Yantra 2019 0-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2025-01-25T12:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Etar Veliko Tarnovo 0-0 Yantra 2019
2024-12-04T16:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Yantra 2019 1-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2024-07-23T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-0 Yantra 2019
2024-01-27T12:30:00+01:00
This forecast was recorded on Mon, 03 Aug 2026 12:27 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 46/100
Strongest cover
1X
76.9% probability
Risk classification
High
26.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
7/15 recent form points
Yantra 2019
13/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/9 and Over 2.5 in 5/9.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-2 Yantra 2019
2023-10-14T10:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Yantra 2019 1-3 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2023-04-08T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Yantra 2019 3-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2023-01-14T01:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +6.6% | 4.15 | 24.1% | 23.1% | -1.0% |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 24.4% | 23.1% | -1.3% | |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23.1% | -1.9% | |
| 10Bet | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.1% | -3.2% | |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.1% | -3.2% | |
| Unibet | 3.50 | 28.6% | 23.1% | -5.5% | |
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +3.3% | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26.1% | -2.5% |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26.1% | -2.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.42 | 29.2% | 26.1% | -3.1% | |
| 10Bet | 3.35 | 29.9% | 26.1% | -3.8% | |
| Unibet | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26.1% | -4.2% | |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 30.8% | 26.1% | -4.7% | |
Home 1X2 | UnibetBest price +2.5% | 1.82 | 54.9% | 50.8% | -4.1% |
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 55.6% | 50.8% | -4.8% | |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 55.6% | 50.8% | -4.8% | |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 50.8% | -6.3% | |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 57.1% | 50.8% | -6.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 57.8% | 50.8% | -7.0% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +8.3% | 2.00 | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 50.2% | -3.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 54.9% | 50.2% | -4.7% | |
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 55.6% | 50.2% | -5.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.76 | 56.8% | 50.2% | -6.6% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +2.1% | 1.87 | 53.5% | 49.8% | -3.7% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 54.1% | 49.8% | -4.3% | |
| Unibet | 1.84 | 54.3% | 49.8% | -4.5% | |
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 55.6% | 49.8% | -5.8% | |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 49.8% | -5.8% | |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +3.6% | 2.00 | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.5% |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 51.3% | 47.5% | -3.8% | |
| Unibet | 1.90 | 52.6% | 47.5% | -5.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 53.5% | 47.5% | -6.0% | |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +2.0% | 1.77 | 56.5% | 52.5% | -4.0% |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 57.8% | 52.5% | -5.3% | |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 57.8% | 52.5% | -5.3% | |
| Unibet | 1.71 | 58.5% | 52.5% | -6.0% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +2.0% | 1.91 | 52.4% | 0.0% | -52.4% |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 52.4% | 0.0% | -52.4% | |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 0.0% | -52.4% | |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 52.4% | 0.0% | -52.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 53.2% | 0.0% | -53.2% | |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 58.1% | 0.0% | -58.1% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +4.7% | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +3.1% | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| William Hill | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Unibet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% | |
| 10Bet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.