Estrela vs Sporting CP

Sporting CP’s away profile looks much stronger than Estrela’s home results. Estrela have 6 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses at home, with 38 goals scored and 56 conceded across 34 matches, while Sporting have 25 wins and only 2 losses overall with 89 goals scored and 24 conceded, plus 15 clean sheets. The match outcome probabilities reflect that gap: Sporting CP to win is 62.5% versus 16.1% for Estrela, with a draw at 21.4%. Estrela’s recent form is also weaker, showing LLLDD, while Sporting’s recent form is DDWWW, which supports the away edge without making it certain. On goals, the likelihood of a higher-scoring game is slightly favored, with over 2.5 goals at 55.2%. Both teams to score is also close to even at 54.4%, suggesting Estrela may still find chances despite Sporting’s defensive record. With a confidence score of 52 and risk level listed as High, the away win lean is reasonable, but the margins are not large enough to be fully secure given Estrela’s ability to draw sometimes and the relatively balanced scoring indicators.