Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City

Essendon Royals SC have been more effective across the season, with a stronger record of 13W 2D 7L compared to Altona City’s 3W 8D 11L. They also have a better goal profile, scoring 54 and conceding 33, while Altona City have scored only 18 and conceded 31, suggesting Essendon’s attack has been the bigger differentiator. In recent form, Essendon’s run of WDWDW indicates they are consistently avoiding defeat, whereas Altona’s LDLLD points to more struggles in getting results. That combination of steadier form and a clearer season-long edge supports the lean toward an Essendon win, though it’s not a lock given Altona’s 8 draws. The goal outlook is moderately favorable for more open play, with Essendon’s stronger scoring output and both teams’ concession totals (33 for Essendon, 31 for Altona). The probabilities provided suggest a 59.8% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55.2% chance that both teams score, so a home win could come with some risk of Altona finding a goal. Overall, the home win probability is 68.8% with medium risk, reflecting Essendon’s advantage but also the possibility that Altona’s tendency to draw games keeps the match from becoming one-sided.