Envigado vs Once Caldas
Thu, Jul 30, 08:30 PMEstadio Polideportivo Sur
Model verdict
High risk
Home Win
Envigado (DWDLD) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.1 for Once Caldas (LWWLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 41/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
41/100
Confidence
41/100
Head-to-Head
Once Caldas 3-0 Envigado
2026-07-22T02:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Once Caldas 1-0 Envigado
2025-09-14T01:20:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Envigado 1-2 Once Caldas
2025-05-01T21:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Envigado 0-2 Once Caldas
2025-01-13T21:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Envigado 0-1 Once Caldas
2024-09-21T22:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Once Caldas 2-1 Envigado
2024-03-10T20:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Envigado vs Once Caldas.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Thu, 30 Jul 2026 16:35 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
