Dunkerque vs Grenoble

Dunkerque at home have a slightly stronger overall profile than Grenoble away, with 11 wins in 34 compared to Grenoble’s 8 wins in 34. Dunkerque also have a better goal difference in the season numbers, scoring 53 and conceding 45 versus Grenoble’s 33 scored and 39 conceded, which supports a lean toward Dunkerque in this matchup. The recent form is mixed for both sides, but Dunkerque’s sequence includes more losses (LLWLL) while Grenoble’s is steadier (DLDWW). That said, Grenoble’s away scoring output is relatively low in the season totals, which limits how often they can turn draws into wins. For goals, the matchup looks fairly balanced rather than high-scoring, with both teams to score at 51.4% and over 2.5 goals at 46.9%. This aligns with a game where Dunkerque may edge it, but not necessarily in a comfortable, high-margin way. Given the close win probabilities (47.0% home vs 25.8% away and 27.2% draw), the home win case is plausible but not strong, which matches the moderate confidence and higher risk level.