Dundee vs Aberdeen

Dundee’s season record at home is weaker than a typical “home win” profile, with 11 wins, 9 draws, and 18 losses across the league season, and they’ve conceded 61 goals while scoring 42. Their recent form is mixed, with results reading LWWLW, which suggests they can produce wins but are not consistently stable. Aberdeen’s overall league record is also not strong, with 11 wins, 7 draws, and 20 losses, but they have a slightly better defensive profile than Dundee, conceding 55 versus Dundee’s 61. Aberdeen’s recent form is also uneven, shown as WDWLL, which includes a couple of losses that could keep them from turning away from a tight match. The goal indicators lean toward a relatively open game. Both teams to score is favored at 53.2%, and over 2.5 goals is just under a coin flip at 48.8%, so a low-scoring Dundee win is not the most supported path, even if Dundee have a small edge in the “home win” direction. With home win at 48.4% versus draw 26.2% and away win 25.4%, the match is still close, which aligns with the high risk level and only moderate confidence (51). A draw or a narrow Aberdeen result remains plausible given both sides’ overall records and inconsistent recent runs.