Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare

Dumbrăviţa have a slightly better overall record at 9W-5D-14L compared with CSM Satu Mare’s 8W-4D-16L, and they’ve been more competitive recently with a mixed run of DLWLW. Still, their goal difference is negative (31 scored, 40 conceded), which limits how strongly they can be backed to dominate. CSM Satu Mare’s away profile looks weaker in results (8W-4D-16L overall, with 35 scored and 54 conceded), and they also have fewer clean sheets (4 vs 8). Their recent form is steadier than Dumbrăviţa’s in the short term (WWWDD), which keeps the away win from being unlikely. The market-style outputs suggest a close match: home win is 48.0% versus draw 25.6% and away win 26.4%, with only a modest edge to the home side. Over 2.5 goals (53.6%) and both teams to score (56.7%) point toward a game where scoring is likely on both ends, aligning with the relatively high concession totals from both teams. With confidenceScore at 55 and riskLevel marked High, the home win lean is reasonable but not strong, and the draw or a low-margin away upset remains plausible given CSM’s recent consistency.