Drukpa vs Bhutan U19

Drukpa at home has a stronger overall record than Bhutan U19, with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses from 11 matches, plus a positive goal difference from 23 scored and 15 conceded. Their recent form includes two wins in the last five games (LLDWW), which supports a home edge even if it’s not consistently dominant. Bhutan U19’s away record is weaker, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, and they’ve conceded more than they’ve scored overall (24 conceded vs 18 scored). Their recent form is also less convincing, with only one win in the last five matches (LLDDL), suggesting they may struggle to convert chances on the road. The goal outlook leans toward a match with scoring. Drukpa’s season numbers show they can find the net (23 goals), while Bhutan U19 have allowed 24, aligning with the higher likelihood of over 2.5 goals (64.9%) and both teams to score (62.9%). Putting these together, a home win is the most likely outcome (59.1%) with a moderate confidence level (74) and medium risk, since the draw probability is still meaningful (21.2%) and Bhutan U19 can still score despite their defensive record.