Diriangén vs UNAN Managua

Diriangén at home look stronger overall, with a 27W-11D-6L record and a strong goal profile of 101 scored versus 38 conceded, plus 17 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed but includes two wins in the last five results (LWWDL), which supports the idea they can control the match at home. UNAN Managua away have struggled more, with only 9 wins in 38 matches and a low scoring output of 44 goals while conceding 76. Their recent run (LDLWW) shows some improvement, but the season-long away record and defensive concession rate suggest they may have difficulty sustaining results against a stronger home side. The goal-related probabilities also lean toward a Diriangén-led game, with over 2.5 goals at 63.6% and both teams to score at 54.0%. That combination fits a scenario where Diriangén create enough chances to win, while UNAN Managua still have a reasonable chance to score at least once. So a home win is the most likely outcome (73.9%), but the confidence is only moderate with a high risk level, since UNAN Managua’s recent form includes two wins and the match could still swing if they score early.