Dinamo Samarqand (DLWWW) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 1.1 for Kokand-1912 (LLWLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 68/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
68/100
Dinamo Samarqand 0-0 Kokand-1912
2025-11-21T14:15:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kokand-1912 2-3 Dinamo Samarqand
2025-06-27T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Dinamo Samarqand 2-0 Kokand-1912
2022-11-12T13:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kokand-1912 1-1 Dinamo Samarqand
2022-06-28T17:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Dinamo Samarqand 0-1 Kokand-1912
2019-08-10T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kokand-1912 2-2 Dinamo Samarqand
2019-06-15T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 02:07 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 68/100
Strongest cover
1X
77.5% probability
Risk classification
Medium
27.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
3 sources
26 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Dinamo Samarqand
10/15 recent form points
Kokand-1912
3/15 recent form points
API-Football does not provide xG in this statistics response. This free-tier forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 4/10.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Over 2.5
Dinamo Samarqand 0-0 Kokand-1912
2017-09-07T13:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kokand-1912 2-1 Dinamo Samarqand
2017-04-07T13:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Kokand-1912 3-1 Dinamo Samarqand
2015-08-02T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Dinamo Samarqand 0-1 Kokand-1912
2015-03-14T12:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Home 1X2 | 1.85 | 54.05405405405405% | 50.4% | -3.7% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.10 | 32.25806451612903% | 27.1% | -5.2% |
Away 1X2 | 3.60 | 27.77777777777778% | 22.5% | -5.3% |
Yes BTTS | 1.83 | 54.64480874316939% | 50.5% | -4.1% |
No BTTS | 1.85 | 54.05405405405405% | 49.5% | -4.6% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.22 | 81.9672131147541% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.80 | 55.55555555555556% | 0.0% | -55.6% |
Home 1X2 | 1.85 | 54.05405405405405% | 50.4% | -3.7% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.30 | 30.303030303030305% | 27.1% | -3.2% |
Away 1X2 | 3.70 | 27.027027027027025% | 22.5% | -4.5% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 2.00 | 50% | 47.6% | -2.4% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1.80 | 55.55555555555556% | 52.4% | -3.2% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.22 | 81.9672131147541% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.25 | 80% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.80 | 55.55555555555556% | 0.0% | -55.6% |
Home 1X2 | 1.80 | 55.55555555555556% | 50.4% | -5.2% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.20 | 31.25% | 27.1% | -4.1% |
Away 1X2 | 4.10 | 24.39024390243903% | 22.5% | -1.9% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 1.96 | 51.02040816326531% | 47.6% | -3.4% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1.74 | 57.47126436781609% | 52.4% | -5.1% |
Yes BTTS | 1.81 | 55.24861878453039% | 50.5% | -4.7% |
No BTTS | 1.83 | 54.64480874316939% | 49.5% | -5.1% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.15 | 86.95652173913044% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.26 | 79.36507936507937% | 0.0% | -79.4% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.80 | 55.55555555555556% | 0.0% | -55.6% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.