Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Madrid result & prediction review
0–1Full time
AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 62/100
Away Win
Deportivo La Coruna (WDDWL) project at 0.9 expected goals versus 1.3 for Real Madrid (WDWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 62/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
62/100
Strongest cover
X2
78.3% probability
Risk classification
Medium
28.5% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Deportivo La Coruna
8/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 1.20
- xGA / match
- 1.49
- Goals / match
- 1.29
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Real Madrid
13/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- 2.81
- xGA / match
- 1.11
- Goals / match
- 2.40
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
DLC derived xG
1.16
RM derived xG
2.15
Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 3.31. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 7/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Real Madrid
2026-08-12T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Real Madrid 7-1 Deportivo La Coruna
2018-01-21T16:15:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna 0-3 Real Madrid
2017-08-20T22:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna 2-6 Real Madrid
2017-04-26T21:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Real Madrid 3-2 Deportivo La Coruna
2016-12-10T20:45:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna 0-2 Real Madrid
2016-05-14T17:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Real Madrid 5-0 Deportivo La Coruna
2016-01-09T20:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Real Madrid 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna
2015-02-14T18:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna 2-8 Real Madrid
2014-09-20T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Real Madrid
2013-02-23T20:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
0-1
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 58.1% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.2911 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Tue, 11 Aug 2026 18:48 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Team hubs: Deportivo La Coruna predictions · Real Madrid predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.