Primera B
Finished
Low risk

Deportes Temuco vs D. Puerto Montt result & prediction review

3–1Full time
Sun, Aug 30, 07:00 PM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 78/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Low risk

Home Win

Deportes Temuco (LWLWD) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 1 for D. Puerto Montt (LLWLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 78/100 confidence with low risk.

Confidence

78/100

Confidence
78/100

Strongest cover

1X

78.9% probability

Risk classification

Low

25.2% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

DT win53.7%
Draw25.2%
DPM win21.1%

Goals

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.9%
Under 2.550.1%

Both teams to score

Yes52.2%
No47.8%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Deportes Temuco

7/15 recent form points

LWLWD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.60
Shots on target
Unavailable

D. Puerto Montt

3/15 recent form points

LLWLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.04
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Low · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Deportes Temuco 3-1 D. Puerto Montt

2026-08-30T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

D. Puerto Montt 1-0 Deportes Temuco

2026-04-21T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Deportes Temuco 2-1 D. Puerto Montt

2026-02-07T22:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

D. Puerto Montt 1-1 Deportes Temuco

2026-01-31T22:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Deportes Temuco 2-1 D. Puerto Montt

2024-06-29T22:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

D. Puerto Montt 2-0 Deportes Temuco

2024-06-22T22:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Deportes Temuco 3-0 D. Puerto Montt

2023-07-02T21:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Deportes Temuco 1-2 D. Puerto Montt

2023-06-18T18:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

D. Puerto Montt 0-0 Deportes Temuco

2023-02-11T22:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Deportes Temuco 0-1 D. Puerto Montt

2022-08-07T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Deportes Temuco vs D. Puerto Montt. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Low risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

3-1

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 54.1% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.2121 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:16 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Deportes Temuco predictions · D. Puerto Montt predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.